How I’m holding a 100-1 ticket on the Falcons

10:59 AM ET

LAS VEGAS — It was a year ago this week when I was doing advance work on my “best early Super Bowl LI value bets” column that was set to run right after the conclusion of last year’s Super Bowl on Sunday, Feb. 7.

As I do with all my advance future-bet columns, I wasn’t looking at the top betting choices but rather at the rest of the teams, trying to find the ones with the best chance to take a big step forward with odds that exceed what I feel their “true odds” are. I landed on the Atlanta Falcons as my top value play at odds of 40-1, and this is my story of how I ended up with a 100-1 ticket on them heading into Super Bowl LI.

Preseason reasoning

The Falcons were coming off an 8-8 season in which they missed the playoffs, but I saw a lot of positive signs. Atlanta started the 2015 season 5-0, and although the schedule

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