NCAA Tournament 2018: The Men’s Chaos Bracket That Could Actually Happen

    D'Marcus SimondsD’Marcus SimondsSam Wasson/Getty Images

    Biggest First-Round Upset: No. 15 Georgia State over No. 2 Cincinnati

    At long last, a massive upset! We have two No. 12 seeds and two No. 13 seeds advancing to the second round, but that isn’t too chaotic. Heck, from 2008-13, there was a No. 12 vs. No. 13 matchup in five out of six years. And everyone knows there’s at least one No. 12 over No. 5 upset in just about every tournament.

    But a No. 15 over a No. 2? That has only happened eight times in tournament history. It has happened four times in the last six years, though, so it’s not patently absurd.

    There are several reasons to like this spot for a major bracket-buster.

    First, it’s the Sun Belt. This was the league responsible for No. 14 Georgia State over No. 3 Baylor, as well as No. 12 Arkansas-Little Rock over No. 5 Purdue in the past three seasons. It doesn’t get regular-season attention like the Missouri Valley or Mountain West Conferences, but this has become the league for shocking upsets.

    Second, Cincinnati is unequivocally the worst of the No. 2 seeds. I am well aware that KenPom has the Bearcats as the fourth-best team in the country, but a good

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